C.1Selected Answers¶
Numerical answers are given as ranges or other hints, meant to facilitate checking for gross departures from the right track, without revealing the precise answer so that shortcuts are discouraged. Questions for which the answer is already known (questions asking to verify an answer), easily validated in the text, or that are a matter of original thought or opinion may not be included here.
The ranges sometimes may be annoyingly large, but think of them as guard rails to prevent a tragic miscalculation or to catch a fundamental misunderstanding of the underlying concepts. It can help catch errors like dividing the wrong things or swapping numerator and denominator, or multiplying when division is called for. In many cases, intuition, or guessing, might lead you already to similar answers or ranges. With practice, students may be able to anticipate what they think are reasonable ranges for answers. In fact, it is a great practice to think about expectations before working on the problem.
This appendix, then, might be thought of as an “intuition implant” that simulates how problems are for experts. Real life does not provide “answers at the back of the book,” so experts rely on experience, intuition, and a sense for “reasonable” results to help them understand when they’ve taken a wrong turn. A successful use of this appendix would help train students to develop their own “common sense” guard rails.
C.1.0.1Chapter 1¶
- Between 250 and 300 years
- Between 250 and 300 years
- Between 1018 and 1020
- Between 100 and 150
- More than 1040
- Between 5 and 500
- Later than 23:50
- Before 12:10 AM
- Between 10 and 40 years
- Between 75 and 100 years
- Between 300 and 500 billion
- It’s not 100 times longer
- A few millennia
- Between 50 and 100 W
- A smidge higher then boiling
- Between 200 and 250 K
- Between 150 and 250 K
- Between 100 and 275 K
C.2Chapter 2¶
- Nearly $100 billion
- 4%: ∼$1 trillion; 5%: more than $100 trillion
- On the low end of advanced countries
- Between 25 and 100 MJ/$
- Between 5% and 50%
- The text had trading art, singing lessons, therapy, and financial planning
- Between 100 and 1,000; Less than 10 to go
- Between 20 and 100 years
May help to think of something once prevalent, now rare
Especially fruitful might be biological dependencies
It can’t all be free of material substance
C.2.0.1Chapter 3¶
Less than a third
Comparable to U.S. population today
Comparable to world population 200 years ago
Over 16 billion; less than half the time we now experience
Answer must be less than 14 billion; whereas Problem 6 was in excess of 15 billion
Two are negative; three are positive
Between 1 and 5%
Add almost a half million; more than half million born; less than half million died
Answers should round to the table values
Only one country in the table creates more total demand, and only two have higher percitizen contributions
Correct results are in the table
This is why Africa gets attention, while North America is perhaps a greater concern.
It nearly triples
Area is key
Lesotho is relevant
C.2.0.2Chapter 4¶
Earth: smaller than peppercorn and basketball-court distant; Moon: sand grain a hand’s width away
Comparable to the actual Earth radius
1 AU = 1 km; Earth 1/12,000 km
A fast walk or slow jog
Think about the subtended angle
Multiply sets to get accumulated scale factors
A good deal farther than the moon, but still well short of the sun/Mars
Ratio is more than a billion, and would take more than 4 lifetimes
Think in terms of area as fraction of plot space
Text has climbing Mt. Everest, supersonic commercial flight, squirrel obstacle course, and economic decoupling
Will take 15–20 tanks of gas, and achieve a fuel economy a factor of 30 or so below typical cars
Double the gasoline from previous problem; gasoline mass almost as much as the car itself
- Several inches
- About the length of a typical room
- A few kJ total, most in sliding
- You’ve got this
- Nearly 1 GJ
- Roughly half human metabolic power
- Less than 5 seconds
- Between 50–100 kcal (200–400 kJ)
- Sensibly, a little less than 2 minutes
- They’re actually close, within 10%
- More than two
- Several kWh; less than $1
On the low end of the human metabolism range; the equivalent cost of 10–20 burritos
A few hundred W
- Several hundred MJ
- Over 100 kWh; 2–4 burritos-worth
- Several Therms; cost of fast-food lunch
- Several gallons; cost of fast-food lunch for two
- One is about twice the other
- A little in excess of 10 kW
- Less than a quarter of estimated
- Between 1 and 2 hours per day
- The largest number is near 108
- Six of the entries are inverses of six others
- A little over an Amp
Nearly 10 kW; will cost over $1,000; don’t do this!
Will last 2–3 hours
In line with most chemical reactions, in the 50–200 kJ/mol range
Between 3–5×10−19 J per photon; get more than 1018/sec
In the neighborhood of 1 휇m or 1 eV
C.2.1Chapter 6¶
- Approx. 200 kJ, depending on mass
- Several minutes
- Several minutes
- About 5 minutes
- A few hours
- Not below freezing
- Not quite up to “room” temperature
- Not quite half the time
- The cost of two burritos per day
- Between 5–10%
- A couple dozen percent, roughly
- Pushing 100%, but not quite there
- Achieves about 1/3 of theoretical
- Δ푇 > 50◦C; environment not that cold
- Close to a dozen kJ
Twice, twice
Just short of 5 years
C.2.1.1Chapter 7¶
a) between 30–40%; b) almost all; c) close to 2/3; d) roughly a quarter
Coal is near 12 qBtu, for instance
Nuclear is about 22%, for instance
Residential is about 5 qBtu, for instance
Industry is a little over 30%, for instance
About 14% is renewable, for instance
Less than 10%
Between 5 and 10%
It is one of the fossil fuels
Well over 100 years
Surprisingly soon: maybe before student loans paid off
Nothing to see here
Nothing to see here
Pay attention to the dashed line
Pay attention to the dashed line
C.3Chapter 8¶
All lines overlap the up-slope
Likely vs. hopeful?
Many features unchanged
Won’t be zero into future
What enabled, then disappeared?
Opposite of ideal
Did not behave like U.S.
Based on energy density
Roughly one-third
2 H per C plus 2 more
In the neighborhood of 20 bbl/yr
Should be appropriate fraction of 10,000 W total
A little over 100 MJ and a few dozen kWh
Sum to about 15 kg, which would fill a refrigerator shelf in the water-bottle equivalent.
drinking glass
A few dozen times more volume, and about 102 in mass
> 1, 000× more expensive
Will cost nearly $1,000
Between 10–15%
Approximately half-century
Roughly a third
If the rate of production increases. . .
What have you wanted that was all gone?
Shorter than R/P suggests
Opposite of virtual
Can’t have what’s not there
Reasons could fill a book
- A single integer works okay for all three
- Nearly 100 kg
- Between 10–15 kg
- Approaching 1 GJ, and human-mass scale
- Total is like small adult or large child
- More than a factor of two
- Get about 50 years; rate not constant
- The numbers basically match
- What is it we know?
- Seems deserving of high marks
- Historical vs. current activity levels
- About 10◦C cooler than actual
- Two pure cases and one partial
- Several degrees warmer
- Very good for us at the right level
- Numbers are not far from realistic
- Triple pre-industrial and almost 5◦C
- End ∼3 ◦C high; almost linear, but not quite
- No need to balance: Nature doesn’t bother
- It’s no game-changer
- Student’s choice
- E.g., 390 − 152 = 238 for a match
- Use 290.6 K; looks like continuation of panel progression
- A few millimeters
- A little over a century
- A year or two
- A couple of degrees
- Sum to about 700 years; almost all in ice and ocean
- A few hundred meters
- A finger’s breadth per year
- Keen to hear your thoughts
- Keen to hear your thoughts
C.3.0.1Chapter 10¶
- Mostly clean; not all, though
- Nothing is free
- What would unlimited mean?
- Can’t rely on any sun-driven energy
- Between 200–250 W/m2
- Photosynthesis supports essentially all life
- Comparing numbers in TW
- More than half
- A little less than 1%
- Not far from 1,000 W/m2
- Nearly 10 degrees
- Look for crazy-big input
- Between 0.5–1 gallon
- More than 4,000×
- Roughly 20 kJ
- About 10 stories of a building
- Close to 0.1 kJ
- About 4 times higher than airliners travel
- About two-thirds Earth radius
Try using half the mass and half the energy
Cube is roughly as big as height from ground
About 6 times typical nuclear plant
Nearly 200 m
A little shy of 500 m3/s
Between 50–75%
Roughly 50%
About a million homes
Approaching 10,000 cubic meters per second
You’ve got a little over an hour
Less than 1 TW in the end
Between 1–2 meters
C.3.1Chapter 12¶
A few Joules
Roughly 1◦C
- Something like 10 m/s
- Mass shows up in both 푚 푔 ℎ and 1 2푚푣2
- In the neighborhood of 1,500 m/s
- About 5–10 humans–worth of mass!
- Comparable to the height of Mt. Everest
- Around about 8 times
- Follow the cube. . .
Runs approximately 10 kW to 1 MW
Roughly two-thirds the original speed
- Close to 10 MW
- Closer to 10 m/s than to 15 m/s
Almost double freeway speeds
Between 5–10 m/s
In the ballpark of 70 kW
Recover 0.65%
Unpack W/m2 to confirm kg/s319. Outer box area corresponds to running at 100%, full time
Definitely less than 50%
Looks like a factor of 8
Approaching (American) football field length
Approximately 1 MW
They may not have equivalent energy needs
- How big are the packages?
- Something times 1021
- Roughly 1016
- About 1,000
- About 4,000 times
- One micron for each finger?
- Think about spill-over into UV and/or IR
Peak around , about 1 \u03bcm wide; matches up well11. Think energetics and depth
Is the answer transparent?
- Just comparing two energies
- Several hundred km/s
- Condense the saga to that of a winner
Answer might involve physics, biology, rooftops
Inversely: larger in one means smaller in the other
Already extremely similar
Think of current as a rate of electron flow in the circuit
- Get very close to 1,360 W/m2
- Sweltering is not preferred
Between 5–6 kWh/m2/day; between 200– 250 W/m223. Involves interpreting kWh/m2/day as fullsun-hours
Not far from 200 W/m2
Range straddles 200 W/m2, varying about 10%26. Best at latitude; almost 15% better than flat
Approaches 6 kWh/m2/day
Large house (and just the PV for one person)
Square is about as wide as Arizona or California east-to-west
Cost, surely—but other challenges and mismatches as well
- A little over 200 W
- Roughly the size of a bedroom
- Will spend a little over $4,000
A little over a decade
Even lower than ∼20% from insolation vs. overhead
About $2-worth of sun
C.4Chapter 14¶
- About a dozen tons of CO2
- Between 0.1–0.5%
- Almost 100 logs per person per year
- In the neighborhood of half-dozen logs per day
- Won’t be exactly 15 years, but close
- Almost 1.5 L of ethanol
- Net is one-third production
- Extra land is twice the yield-land
- A bit longer than a U.S. Presidential term
- Nothing to spare
- Corn now approximately 15% as much as this; still more than total arable land
- Box barely fits north–south in U.S.
- Personal preferences play a role
- A blueberry
- 푁 = 8
- Use 푍 = 26 to get there
- Should match quite well
- Two diagonals have no gray squares
- One has a half-life longer than a million years
- Roughly twice as old as agriculture
- Between 1–2%
- One is about 3% of the other (both decay)
- Step right
- That last step might take a while
- Two decays do it
- Sand does the job
- Somewhere between a car and a bus?
- Close to 1 kg
- Around a couple-dozen micrograms
- Table should match
- Energy has a mass, via 퐸 = 푚푐2
- Adds about 1% to the mass
- Not far from 1,500 MeV
- Not much
- It’s a strontium isotope
- 퐴 is twice a prime number
Stick to 80 < 퐴 < 110 and 125 < 퐴 < 155 to respect distributions
Mid-20s of MeV
From steam onwards, it’s basically the same
- Between 3 and 5 cents per kWh
- A few per week!
- Around 20 tons per year (more in reality)
- Almost 2 million tons
- A few hundred tons
- Less than a decade
- Two stand out
- Centuries
- More often than once every two years
- A nearly exact match!
- Worked out in text: no calculation necessary—just interpretation
- Energy jump size
- Like a milk jug
C.5Chapter 16¶
- Shortfall is more than a factor of 200
- A bit farther than the record
- About as thick as a six-story building is tall
- Ranges about 55–85%
- Geothermal is a bit less than 1% of alternative electricity
- A little shy of the 8 m design height, sensibly
- Works out
- Diameter like a small house’s footprint
- Comparable to human metabolism; 1% of American demand
Algae who?
Two words almost say it all
Fine if it is a little shy: transfer rates vary
Think about what a house can access, and steam plants
May be up there with solar (4 to 6, likely)
C.6Chapter 18¶
16 equal portions
Predicts largest well; not too far on smallest
Gaping disparities on opposite poles is no random fluke
Brilliant future if you can figure out effective ways
How else will change happen? (but elaborate. . . )
Will contribute 2–3% of the annual total
A bit over half the global energy budget!
Two approaches: cynical or hopeful; make either pitch
In the hundreds
I was hoping you had some ideas
C.6.1Chapter 19¶
Still could be a parasite, even if larger than a flea
Easier to break than make
What things are dependent on growth to operate normally?
What limits?
Does it bear on humanity in some way?
Wait; who has my. . .
- Focus on what has mattered until now
- What’s the alternative?
- Please figure out how it can work!
- Is this the movie version, or the real-life one?
C.6.2Chapter 20¶
What needs to happen to avert?
Focus on demonstrable new conditions that likely push limits
- Obligations of reality?
- Some things are out of our control
- What type of activity tends to consume a lot of power?
- Duty cycle
- Proportional to Δ푇
Gasoline is about 4 times the other two
Just a bit less than average in all categories
Close to twice the gas is used in the form of electricity
Both in the same neighborhood
Big disparity; which is more likely?
S.U.V. might not make the cut, but smaller cars will
Surprisingly far: almost two-thirds of the way
Is six-sevenths a coincidence?
As if one day a week is all dairy/eggs
Is it directed or emergent?
Think frivolous or huge resource demand
Do your best: might prevent the worst
Can you even tell the needle isn’t at full?